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Decline supply vs hand-over

Every failed Square charge, by day, against what actually reached the chase list. Built 2026-09-19 07:36 UTC · 62 days to 2026-09-19 · hand-over figures from Supabase over the laptop history, built 2026-09-19 06:07 UTC.

Recurring declines
12,383
$2,489,311 of instalments failed
People behind them
11,774
unique customers, summed per day
Reached the chase list
7,003
93.8% of the 7,465 people on days the list has run
Cut by the ledger
106
already handed over on an earlier day

Recurring declines only. Studio-counter, deposit and office declines are excluded from every number on this page — a card failing at the till is a sale that did not go through, not arrears, and counting the two together has misled us before. Of the recurring people who declined, the ones missing from the chase list were cut by the hand-over ledger, which records everyone ever handed over and never releases them. That rule has no time limit: a customer whose instalment fails again a month later is dropped, because they were handed over once already. The worst day here is 21 August — 137 of 159 people reached the list (86.2%).

Every day

Recurring charges is every finance instalment Square ran that day and recurring declines the ones that failed — studio-counter and deposit cards are not in either. Reached is what /chase-daily wrote to Hamad's CSV, and already had is who it cut. Dashes before 2026-08-12 are days the daily hand-over did not yet exist — those lists went out as weekly windows.

DayRecurring chargesRecurring declines PeopleValue Reached listAlready hadReached %
Fri, 18 Sept 369 219 59.3% 216 $44,317 209 96.8%
Thu, 17 Sept 371 210 56.6% 198 $45,612 186 93.9%
Wed, 16 Sept 324 193 59.6% 184 $39,035 170 92.4%
Tue, 15 Sept 977 588 60.2% 567 $117,548 532 93.8%
Mon, 14 Sept 229 140 61.1% 136 $26,468 126 92.6%
Sun, 13 Sept 231 153 66.2% 144 $31,090 141 97.9%
Sat, 12 Sept 227 146 64.3% 141 $28,128 137 97.2%
Fri, 11 Sept 239 119 49.8% 111 $28,023 101 91.0%
Thu, 10 Sept 362 220 60.8% 214 $40,104 205 95.8%
Wed, 9 Sept 192 115 59.9% 110 $28,932 107 97.3%
Tue, 8 Sept 191 109 57.1% 103 $22,271 100 97.1%
Mon, 7 Sept 180 110 61.1% 105 $23,188 100 95.2%
Sun, 6 Sept 225 151 67.1% 145 $30,194
Sat, 5 Sept 274 182 66.4% 174 $38,279 171 98.3%
Fri, 4 Sept 220 114 51.8% 108 $19,637 105 97.2%
Thu, 3 Sept 286 160 55.9% 141 $39,683 135 95.7%
Wed, 2 Sept 223 117 52.5% 111 $21,634 105 94.6%
Tue, 1 Sept 405 231 57.0% 213 $43,102 203 95.3%
Mon, 31 Aug 1,468 929 63.3% 897 $188,039 863 96.2%
Sun, 30 Aug 8 2 25.0% 2 $304 1 1 50.0%
Sat, 29 Aug 12 1 8.3% 0 $245 0
Fri, 28 Aug 571 334 58.5% 314 $66,050 277 20 88.2%
Thu, 27 Aug 314 186 59.2% 176 $34,981 164 6 93.2%
Wed, 26 Aug 288 183 63.5% 177 $39,556 160 9 90.4%
Tue, 25 Aug 359 225 62.7% 222 $44,378 200 9 90.1%
Mon, 24 Aug 353 218 61.8% 207 $42,552 183 10 88.4%
Sun, 23 Aug 197 128 65.0% 127 $25,072 120 3 94.5%
Sat, 22 Aug 294 183 62.2% 175 $34,863 162 3 92.6%
Fri, 21 Aug 311 173 55.6% 159 $36,483 137 15 86.2%
Thu, 20 Aug 520 316 60.8% 299 $60,893 287 9 96.0%
Wed, 19 Aug 331 209 63.1% 198 $40,744 180 8 90.9%
Tue, 18 Aug 298 185 62.1% 177 $39,669 167 5 94.4%
Mon, 17 Aug 384 234 60.9% 228 $51,081 210 5 92.1%
Sun, 16 Aug 287 165 57.5% 158 $34,054 149 2 94.3%
Sat, 15 Aug 961 559 58.2% 532 $112,239 506 1 95.1%
Fri, 14 Aug 253 140 55.3% 136 $25,689 118 86.8%
Thu, 13 Aug 273 161 59.0% 153 $32,719 147 96.1%
Wed, 12 Aug 258 163 63.2% 152 $31,447 139 91.4%
Tue, 11 Aug 139 83 59.7% 80 $17,761
Mon, 10 Aug 389 237 60.9% 232 $48,570
Sun, 9 Aug 169 114 67.5% 111 $25,344
Sat, 8 Aug 173 111 64.2% 106 $22,681
Fri, 7 Aug 234 135 57.7% 114 $26,002
Thu, 6 Aug 272 160 58.8% 153 $31,528
Wed, 5 Aug 305 191 62.6% 182 $41,838
Tue, 4 Aug 176 95 54.0% 85 $17,209
Mon, 3 Aug 276 169 61.2% 157 $33,242
Sun, 2 Aug 203 118 58.1% 111 $21,821
Sat, 1 Aug 404 218 54.0% 201 $43,091
Fri, 31 Jul 1,400 870 62.1% 843 $176,986
Thu, 30 Jul 60 15 25.0% 11 $2,761
Wed, 29 Jul 41 14 34.1% 10 $2,290
Tue, 28 Jul 486 315 64.8% 293 $66,035
Mon, 27 Jul 340 211 62.1% 192 $40,399
Sun, 26 Jul 261 169 64.8% 160 $33,993
Sat, 25 Jul 307 191 62.2% 188 $37,668
Fri, 24 Jul 394 204 51.8% 191 $38,181
Thu, 23 Jul 256 146 57.0% 134 $30,692
Wed, 22 Jul 319 189 59.2% 181 $36,258
Tue, 21 Jul 236 145 61.4% 136 $25,920
Mon, 20 Jul 527 312 59.2% 293 $60,737

Download the full day table as CSV

Who is being cut, and when they were last handed over

Only the days still inside the rolling decline pull can be broken down like this. If the people being cut were last handed over weeks ago, the cut is not catching a duplicate — it is suppressing a fresh miss.

DayRecurring peopleNew to the listThe rest were last handed over…
Thu, 17 Sept 198 25 12.6% 2 last handed over 2026-08-06 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-13 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-14 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-16 · 164 last handed over 2026-08-17 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-19 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-26 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-31 · 1 last handed over 2026-09-09
Wed, 16 Sept 184 52 28.3% 3 last handed over 2026-08-06 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-11 · 127 last handed over 2026-08-16 · 1 last handed over 2026-09-15
Tue, 15 Sept 568 127 22.4% 5 last handed over 2026-08-06 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-12 · 431 last handed over 2026-08-15 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-17 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-31 · 1 last handed over 2026-09-01 · 1 last handed over 2026-09-10
Mon, 14 Sept 136 29 21.3% 4 last handed over 2026-08-06 · 2 last handed over 2026-08-11 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-13 · 97 last handed over 2026-08-14 · 1 last handed over 2026-08-15 · 2 last handed over 2026-08-17

The ledger — 6,407 people

Everyone ever handed over, by the day they were claimed. The two big early entries are the weekly window files this was seeded from: a person in the 31 Jul–6 Aug list reads as handed over on 6 Aug, which is why the 31 Aug monthly billing run found most of its customers already claimed.

Handed overPeople
18 Sept 2026 53
17 Sept 2026 20
16 Sept 2026 45
15 Sept 2026 115
14 Sept 2026 24
13 Sept 2026 21
12 Sept 2026 22
11 Sept 2026 29
10 Sept 2026 31
9 Sept 2026 14
8 Sept 2026 15
7 Sept 2026 22
6 Sept 2026 23
5 Sept 2026 21
4 Sept 2026 26
3 Sept 2026 19
2 Sept 2026 16
1 Sept 2026 49
31 Aug 2026 200
30 Aug 2026 1
28 Aug 2026 282
27 Aug 2026 165
26 Aug 2026 162
25 Aug 2026 206
24 Aug 2026 188
23 Aug 2026 123
22 Aug 2026 167
21 Aug 2026 140
20 Aug 2026 287
19 Aug 2026 185
18 Aug 2026 171
17 Aug 2026 216
16 Aug 2026 153
15 Aug 2026 515
14 Aug 2026 119
13 Aug 2026 147
12 Aug 2026 139
11 Aug 2026 614
6 Aug 2026 1,662